Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“RCTs aren’t going away any time soon—they’re still an important tool. But like SSRIs, they can’t be the solution that we rely on as gold standard”
· Randomized Controlled Trials Are The SSRIs of Trial Design · substack post

Closing thesis of Ben Spielberg's guest essay: randomized controlled trials will remain in use but should not be the sole gold standard. The author closes the post with 'Thanks, Ben, for sharing this with us, I tend to agree.'

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.