Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Satire or irony

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 18 Nov 2024 · owen-1315

Quote

Satire or irony

“Someday, there might be so many placebo conditions we forget what we are researching in the first place.”
· Randomized Controlled Trials Are The SSRIs of Trial Design · substack post

Guest essay by Ben Spielberg (Bespoke Treatment) arguing RCTs are over-relied on. In a jokey passage on the growing placebo effect he says trials may someday need so many placebo arms that the research question is lost.

Marked or evident satire, hyperbole or irony.

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