Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 19 Nov 2024 · owen-1317

Quote

Vague or promotional

“We have written about the potential for GLP-1 medicines (Brand names Ozempic, Monjauro, Wegovy, Zepbound, etc.) to reduce, among other things, my personal problems of diabetes and obesity and, maybe, help with addiction.”
· GLP-1s May Work Better In Alcohol Use Disorder than Approved Treatments · substack post Paid

Opening of an article on a Swedish registry cohort study in JAMA Psychiatry (227,866 people with alcohol use disorder). The author restates the newsletter's earlier hedged view that GLP-1 drugs may help with addiction, beyond diabetes and obesity.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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