Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“That is one way to reduce the risk of claims of voter suppression or other nonsense that could allow a candidate to falsely claim things should have been otherwise.”
· The Election Polls Are All Wrong!?! · substack post

Same essay's closing plea to vote: a large, counted turnout reduces the risk that a candidate falsely claims voter suppression or that the result should have been otherwise.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.