Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This phenomenon means that the polls for this election are almost certainly wrong ... Your vote counts—especially when the polls are highly likely to be inaccurate, as is currently the case.”
· The Election Polls Are All Wrong!?! · substack post

Same essay, final line after 'GO OUT AND VOTE'. Restates that the pre-election polls are highly likely to be inaccurate.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.