Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outcome already public

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outcome already public

“Gilead will allow for discount pricing for poor countries!”
· We Can Prevent HIV Infection At 100% Efficacy...But Not Afford It?!? · substack post

Right after stating lenacapavir costs $42,250, the author says Gilead will allow discount pricing for poor countries. The tone is sarcastic, but the claim about Gilead's pricing policy reads as sincere.

The outcome had been publicly determined or announced by the deciding body or sponsor on the statement date.