Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“We can stop HIV now, globally. Except, we won’t.”
· We Can Prevent HIV Infection At 100% Efficacy...But Not Afford It?!? · substack post

Gilead's twice-yearly injectable lenacapavir showed zero HIV infections among 2,134 women in the PURPOSE 1 trial (Uganda, South Africa). The author says HIV could be stopped globally but predicts it will not be, citing the $42,250 price.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.