Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“With incentives for costs to go up, it will happen!”
· The Passion of the Medical Loss Ratio · substack post

Closing line of the MLR mechanics section, right after noting that Amazon bought One Medical. The author asserts that because the MLR rewards higher spend, healthcare costs will rise.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.