Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“But overall, any contention that reducing cost is what will happen is fictional at best and fraudulent at worst.”
· The Passion of the Medical Loss Ratio · substack post

Section 'Let's Play Pretend!'. The author lists major carriers (Blue Cross, United, Cigna, Aetna, Anthem, Magellan, Oscar, Elevance, Evernorth) that claim to control costs. He denies that cost reduction will happen under the MLR incentive structure.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.