Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Then feeding them their own output inadvertently becomes expensive gruel leading to an “obesity of language.” It becomes relentlessly more boring, more pedantic, and less satisfying with each piece of underwhelming “training data” fed into it.”
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The author predicts that training AI language models on their own output will make them progressively more boring, pedantic and unsatisfying with each round of training data.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.