Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“The average of those answers, which is the lifeblood of ChatGPT, is almost by definition going to be milquetoast and unsatisfying.”
· E-motion Capture: AI missed our intentions by focusing on our words. · substack post Paid

The author argues that large language models underperform because they are trained on humans being unhelpful to each other online. He expects ChatGPT's averaged output to remain bland and unsatisfying, adding 'We are not there yet. Not by a long shot.'

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.