Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“It’s a problem, and it’s getting worse.”
· How Opiate Use Disorder Made Our World "The Leftovers" · substack post

After citing drug-related death rates (19.3 per 100,000 max before 1979 vs 28.3 per 100,000 in 2020, CDC), the author says the overdose death problem is getting worse.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.