Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“That last line there hints at a pending horror augmentation: xylazine, a veterinary anesthetic about which I have written before, getting into the drug supply. ... It makes the rate of abrupt death worse, because even EMS or Narcan can't save that child between 10 and 19.”
· How Opiate Use Disorder Made Our World "The Leftovers" · substack post

After CDC data on adolescent (10-19) overdose deaths showing naloxone given in only 30.3% of cases, the author expects xylazine ('Tranq') mixed into fentanyl to make abrupt deaths worse because naloxone cannot reverse it.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.