Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Our current relentless grief is moving closer to that fiction. Those writers imagined enough loss would drive us mad. I suspect they are correct. We are not prepared.”
· How Opiate Use Disorder Made Our World "The Leftovers" · substack post

Essay comparing US drug overdose deaths to the HBO show The Leftovers, where 2% of people vanish and society goes mad (2023-05-16). The author says real grief is approaching the fiction and suspects that loss at this scale will drive us mad.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.