Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“And so we have this very strange situation—where we can't know who it's going to be. We can know it's highly likely to happen again.”
· What Should Parents Say About Mass Shootings? · substack post

Transcript of a May 28, 2022 live conversation with Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz after the Uvalde, Texas school shooting, republished 2023-03-28. The author says we cannot know in advance who the next mass shooter will be, but that another mass shooting is highly likely.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.