Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“the more people we have who feel adrift, unloved, uncared for, misunderstood, and enraged, the more likelihood is some of them are going to choose to express their rage with bullets.”
· What Should Parents Say About Mass Shootings? · substack post

Same 2022 conversation on mass shootings. The author states a causal expectation: the more socially adrift and enraged people in the population, the higher the likelihood that some of them will commit shootings.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.