Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I also have never had a moment of doubt that I should be a doctor, and that I will be a great one.”
· Personal Statements Are Embarrassing: Here is Mine! · substack post

Final line of the author's 2006 personal statement to the University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, reproduced verbatim in 2023 with 'comments from the future'. The then-applicant predicts he will be a great doctor.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.