Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“So consider this part the Old Testament, and the next will be the New. I’m hoping I can pull it off in just the Old Testament/New Testament Substack format — Otherwise I can get in some real trouble making this a trilogy!”
· The Passion of the Medical Loss Ratio: Why Hath Payers Forsaken Mental Health Treatments that Work? · substack post

The author expects the series to run two parts and hopes not to need a third. Earlier he calls it 'my thrilling series of what I imagined to be two parts'.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.