Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Rick Doblin · Said 12 Dec 2022 · doblin-0183
Quote
Commitment (own venture)
“right now, what we're told is that it's about $200 million to get to what we're calling sustainability. So more or less $100 million to get to NDA approval, FDA approval and DEA approval. And then another 100 million or so to get to where the income from the sale of MDMA covers all of our expenses”
Doblin on The Third Wave episode 173 gives the cost estimate for MAPS to reach approval ($100 million) and financial sustainability from MDMA sales ($200 million total).
The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.