Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“So we think by then, we will have gotten the application to the FDA right around that time, or almost around that time, or it'll be almost ready or fully ready.”
· Healing the Heart of Humanity: Legalizing Psychedelic Medicine - Rick Doblin, Ph.D. | Third Wave · podcast

Doblin on The Third Wave episode 173 expects the MDMA NDA to be submitted to the FDA around the time of the Psychedelic Science conference in June 2023.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.