Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 23 Mar 2026 · owen-2471

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“So now we have to do a pivotal trial with good randomization and good controls.”
· TMS for Treatment-Resistant Depression: A Clinical Guide with Dr. Owen Muir (Psychiatry Boot Camp transcript) · podcast

Psychiatry Boot Camp, 'Future of Rapid TMS' segment. After the 1D one-day TMS open-label trial and a propensity-matched preprint, Muir says a pivotal trial is the next step; he advises Ampa, maker of the portable device.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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