Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“So it's likely that if your underlying depression is recurrent, you're gonna need the treatment again. And retreatment is, again, necessary and highly likely to be successful, like greater than, I don't actually have the real numbers, but like 90% plus of people are gonna respond to a second course of treatment if they need it.”
· TMS and The Future of Psychiatry, Part 1 with Dr. Owen Muir (Psychofarm Podcast transcript) · podcast

Psychofarm Part 1. Muir on durability: TMS causes no permanent brain change, recurrent depression will need retreatment, and he estimates 90%+ response to a second course; durability about a year in his own work.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.