Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“79% remission from severe depression will be our new standard at @FermataHealth and @AcaciaClinics thanks to @NolanRyWilliams and @StanfordBrain”
· @ScottMuirMD tweet 1696337691409793425 · tweet

Reply to TIME reporter Jamie Ducharme, quoting a tweet about moving beyond SSRIs. Muir says SAINT-level remission (79 percent) will become the standard at Fermata and Acacia Clinics.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.