Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“somebody has to do a large enough trial, submitted to the FDA, to change the label, and that just starts the conversation with payers about coverage.”
· Something “New” Is Proven Useful In Bipolar Depression · substack post

Continuation of the SNT-in-bipolar-depression point: the author says an FDA label change for accelerated TMS in bipolar depression requires a sufficiently large trial submitted to the FDA, and that a label change only begins the payer coverage conversation, so coverage will lag any label.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.