Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“what if we could replace drunk drivers with robots? We can.”
· Human Drivers Are A Public Health Menace (And One Tried to Kill Me Recently!) · substack post

After citing 2024 US crash and drunk-driving statistics (39,254 deaths; 11,904 alcohol-impaired deaths), the author argues that self-driving cars (Waymo) can replace drunk human drivers. Preceded by 'We can’t yet automate men away entirely'.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.