Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Any family with a bad outcome— there are 700,000 suicide attempts among adolescents in 2024 —can and will start suing and winning. The last prescriber in holding the hot-potato, and who who didn’t document a plan for deprescribing? I wouldn’t want to be an underwriter.”
· Why Are We Still Prescribing Most Oral Medicines for Depression in Adolescents? · substack post

First of four recommendations in an essay on the lack of efficacy of non-fluoxetine oral antidepressants in adolescents (9.44M such prescriptions in 2022). The author predicts families will sue prescribers of these drugs after bad outcomes and win, creating liability for the last prescriber.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.