Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“However, I suspect there will be a problem, and I'm going to use some data to back it up. It always starts carefully, restricted, and framed as rare . Then, it ramps up.”
· New York's New Medically Assisted Aid In Dying Law Will Be Used to Kill The Mentally Ill · substack post

After comparing NY's criteria (more restrictive now) with Canada's 2016 criteria, the author predicts MAiD use in New York will ramp up over time, citing Dutch and Canadian numbers.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.