Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This is always intended to be used only in extreme cases; more people are terminally ill, and then it expands to others whose suffering is tremendous, but not terminal in the traditional sense of the term. That's what happens in the real world.”
· New York's New Medically Assisted Aid In Dying Law Will Be Used to Kill The Mentally Ill · substack post

The author grants the NY law's intent is narrow but asserts a general pattern: MAiD starts with the terminally ill and expands to non-terminal suffering. Applied to New York as an implicit forecast of expansion.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.