Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 11 Dec 2025 · owen-1970

Quote

Vague or promotional

“And we shouldn’t expect that from tDCS, based on prior studies.”
· Depression Treated At-Home Without Meds? A First FDA-Approved Device is Here · substack post

Answering the question whether the Flow device is at-home SAINT TMS: no. The author says tDCS should not be expected to reach SAINT-level results (effect size here 0.37), based on prior tDCS studies.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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