Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“We're not gonna fix that with a chat bot. We're not gonna fix that with drugs, because, as you'll remember me telling you, the largest data sets tell us they don't work.”
· There are only two effective biological interventions for adolescence depression. · substack post

Same rant on the youth mental health crisis. The author denies that chatbots or oral antidepressant drugs will fix high adolescent suicide-attempt rates, on the grounds that large data sets show the drugs do not work.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.