Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“13% of high school girls will attempt suicide. 7% of high school boys will attempt suicide. That's in 2023. I doubt it it's better this year.”
· There are only two effective biological interventions for adolescence depression. · substack post

Opening of a rant, written from a conference, on adolescent depression treatments. The author cites 2023 figures for high-school suicide attempts and doubts that the 2025 figures are better.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.