Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“When it comes to violent crime, it’s going up by 2.6% per 10% increase in likelihood of admission.”
· Is Involuntary Psychiatric Hospitalization Causing Harm? · substack post

Same extrapolation: if the administration's plan raises involuntary admission of edge cases, charges for violent crime within 3 months rise by 2.6 percentage points per 10-point increase in admission likelihood.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.