Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“write to the manufacturer and request a sham coil. They'll probably hook you up.”
· fMRI-Guided rTMS Doesn't Work For Everything · substack post

Critique of the Hodkinson et al. 2025 knee osteoarthritis aiTBS trial, which used 30% stimulator output as sham; the author advises future fMRI-guided TMS investigators to request a proper sham coil from the manufacturer and predicts they will probably provide one.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.