Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I don't know; we'll see, but if I'm free next February, I might have to drop into Berlin and my colleagues at Fruit Logistica to figure out what's happening.”
· Dreams of Fruit Logistics · substack post

Closing of the Fruit Logistica essay; the author says he was kidding at first but the event looks exciting, and he might attend Fruit Logistica in Berlin in February 2026 if free.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.