Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“don’t think this is not normal Silicon Valley behavior. It is. ... And it will continue till we demand otherwise”
· Theranos Was a Good Investment [and still is!] · substack post

Closing argument of the Theranos essay: fake-it-till-you-make-it and near-fraud are normal Silicon Valley behavior, and the author predicts this will continue until the public demands verification, for example a public ledger of startup finances and governance.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.