Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“This is a good example of why the uptake on AI that hallucinates—or, in human terms, lies to you—misses a key motivation for humans.”
· Stop Being So Positive! · substack post

Essay on epistemic trust (Peter Fonagy's term): people trust messengers rather than messages. The author applies this to AI adoption: AI that hallucinates misses the human need for truth, implying that uptake of such AI will be limited.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.