Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“May docs are going to stop practicing soon: Nearly 30% of physicians retire between 60 and 65 years old, and 12% retire before 60”
· "Why Isn't Someone Already Doing This?" · substack post

Step in an illustrative back-of-envelope count of how many US psychiatrists could lead tech-enabled, value-based mental health companies. From about 331 candidates the author removes those who will retire soon, citing AMA Insurance Agency survey data, leaving about 200. 'May' is a typo for 'Many' in the original.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.