Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 9 Aug 2024 · owen-1184

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Individuals trained in psychedelic-assisted therapy are not likely a dime dozen. It's going to be expensive to get that training.”
· Even MDMA-Assisted Trauma Therapy is Traumatic...For the Therapists · substack post Paid

Written while the FDA decision on Lykos's MDMA-AT NDA was pending. The author argues the modality will require trained specialists, who will be scarce, and that the training will be expensive.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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