Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Both groups will use the BrainsWay Deep TMS Device. There will be no sham or placebo treatments.”
· Recruiting For A Depression Clinical Trial @ Fermata.health in Brooklyn, NY · substack post

Recruitment notice for Fermata.health's non-inferiority trial (NCT06357832) comparing once-daily H1 Deep TMS with an investigational multiple-daily H1 iTBS protocol for treatment-resistant depression in Brooklyn; states how the trial will be run.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.