Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“Yes, that's correct. Big Health can increase profits only by increasing costs. The truth is costs have to go up or their profits go down, and they can't make their profits go down and keep their job.”
· The Medical Loss Ratio · substack post

Medical loss ratio essay (collab with an unnamed friend). Because the Affordable Care Act caps insurer margin at about 20% of premiums, the author argues insurers can only grow profit by growing total health spending; implicit prediction that health costs will keep rising under the MLR rule.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.