Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I'm also asking this question to several colleagues, and it will become an article if you, dear readers, leave enough sassy comments.”
· Desert Island Psychiatry · substack post

The author poses the 'five interventions on a desert island' question and says the answers from colleagues and readers will become a future newsletter article, conditional on enough comments.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.