Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Expecting them to lower costs, in violation of their fiduciary role to shareholders, however, is a fever dream.”
· The Passion of the Medical Loss Ratio · substack post

Second half (mental health system section). The author says payers generate shareholder value and will not lower costs because that would violate their fiduciary duty to shareholders.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.