Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“The incentives driving the balance sheets of our major payers force them inevitably to higher costs, sickness, and premiums. Rinse, repeat, every year, without end, until we are all broke and dead.”
· The Passion of the Medical Loss Ratio · substack post

MLR mechanics section, right after 'I do not believe there is a sinister plot.' The author predicts that major payers are driven inevitably to higher costs, more sickness and higher premiums, repeating every year without end.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.