Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Nobody's going to make any money if they get an FDA label—they are already generic. ... To be clear, this problem only gets worse with time.”
· Prazosin · substack post Paid

Setup for the prazosin discussion: older generic medications (prazosin among them) will not earn a sponsor money even if they get a new FDA label, so nobody pays for the trials. General economic claim about repurposing off-patent drugs.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.