Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 1 Apr 2024 · owen-0951

Quote

Vague or promotional

“We should expect a storm of these reviews, meta-reviews, and network-meta-meta-meta analyses.”
· How Big of A Deal Are Psychedelic Medicines Likely to Be? · substack post Paid

After critiquing the Yao et al. 2024 psychedelic meta-analysis (Psychiatry Research) for omitting the MindMed MM-120 LSD trial, the author predicts a flood of reviews and meta-analyses on psychedelic medicine because they are easier than original research; adds 'even not-so-good reviews will get cited'.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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