Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Bipolar Disorder: No , but I will deal with it in another article.”
· Abilify I · substack post

TL;DR list of Abilify's FDA indications with the author's verdicts; item 'Bipolar Disorder: No'. The author says he will cover the bipolar indication in another article. The post also notes that subsequent articles in the series cover Abilify in bipolar mania and bipolar depression.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.