Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“given the prohibition by the AMA ... it will reliably go badly enough of the time to make this “reliably unreliable”—and I am arguing that this means it’s cruel and unusual punishment.”
· Innovation In Execution: Disrupting Death? · substack post

Same post. The author predicts lethal injection will reliably go badly often enough to be 'reliably unreliable' because the AMA bars physicians from assisting in executions, and argues this makes it cruel and unusual punishment.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.