Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Only rarely performing procedures like obtaining IV access? This means, reliably , it will get messed up—because some individuals’ veins are difficult to access.”
· Innovation In Execution: Disrupting Death? · substack post

Post on Alabama's nitrogen-gas execution of Kenneth Eugene Smith after a failed lethal injection in 2022. The author argues that because physicians may not participate in executions, IV access by amateurs will reliably fail in some future executions.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.