Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 5 Jan 2024 · owen-0833

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Today, a new paper hit the press. And it will change what you understand to be possible.”
· A SHIFT in The Possible: fMRI Guided Brain Stimulation Crosses a New Threshold · substack post

Post (2024-01-05) on the SHIFT trial (Stanford Hypnosis Integrated with Functional Connectivity-targeted Transcranial Stimulation; Faerman et al., Nature Mental Health, 2024; Nolan Williams senior author group) that used fMRI-guided TMS to change hypnotizability, a stable trait. The author claims the paper will change what readers understand to be possible: modifying traits, not only states, with neuromodulation.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

← Earlier · Later → · All statements