Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I'm going to get back to it now because I need to.”
· Avoidance of Writing That Requires Sustained Mental Effort · substack post

The author is senior author on a series of eight academic papers; seven are submitted and under review, and he is responsible for finishing the last one. He frames the newsletter post as ADHD avoidance and commits to returning to the paper.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.